Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.