Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 49.08% ( | 23.47% ( | 27.45% |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( | 42.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% ( | 64.56% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( | 17.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( | 47.72% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( | 28.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% ( | 64.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.08% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.55% Total : 27.45% |