Major League Soccer

Aug 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Salloi (3', 3'), Russell (42', 42'), Thommy (69', 69')

FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, July 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Earthquakes
Monday, August 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
61.75% ( -0.01)	21% ( -0.01)	17.25% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.21% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.75% (

0.06)

43.25% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35% (

0.06)

65.65% (

-0.06)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.52% (

0.02)

13.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.51% (

0.03)

40.48% (

-0.03)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

0.06)

38.5% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.75% (

0.06)

75.25% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 61.74%

San Jose Earthquakes 17.25%

Draw 21%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 61.74%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21%	0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.25%