Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
0 - 1
Earthquakes

Sartini (40'), Sartini (40'), Gauld (90'), Gauld (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Espinoza (43', 43')
Monteiro (39'), Monteiro (39'), Gruezo (62'), Baldisimo (62'), Tsakiris (79'), Tsakiris (80'), Brito (82'), Brito (82'), Marie (89'), Marie (89'), Rodrigues (90'), Rodrigues (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 4-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-0 Seattle
Thursday, July 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
61.56% ( 0.16)	21.17% ( -0.08)	17.26% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.01% (

0.24)

43.99% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.62% (

0.23)

66.37% (

-0.23)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

0.13)

13.77% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.93% (

0.25)

41.06% (

-0.25)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.07% (

0.05)

38.93% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.34% (

0.05)

75.65% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 61.55%

San Jose Earthquakes 17.26%

Draw 21.17%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 61.55%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.17%	0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.26%