Major League Soccer

Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Stanford Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Cowell (16', 16')
Gruezo (31'), Gruezo (31')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Pukki (4', 4')
Reynoso (39'), Reynoso (40'), Boxall (85'), Boxall (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Colorado
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Minnesota United
50.87% ( -1.32)	23.12% ( 0.31)	26% ( 1.01)

Both teams to score 58.98% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.28% (

-0.51)

41.71% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.88% (

-0.51)

64.11% (

0.51)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48% (

-0.66)

16.51% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

-1.19)

46.25% (

1.18)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

0.52)

29.34% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67% (

0.63)

65.32% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 50.87%

Minnesota United 26%

Draw 23.11%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.87%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.11%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.28% Total : 26%