Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
3
2
HT : 6 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew 1 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta 4 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Giorgos Giakoumakis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result

Philadelphia Union 55.96% (+0.03)
Draw 22.55% (-0.01)
Atlanta United 21.49% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.45% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.13% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 43.87% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.74% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.26% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.33% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.67% (-0.02)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 84.48% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 15.52% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 55.57% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 44.43% (-0.03)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 65.64% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.36% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.93% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.07% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 55.96%
Draw 22.55%
Atlanta United 21.49%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.75% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 55.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.55%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.49%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 7' goal
  • Brooks Lennon 79' goal
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2022 12.00am
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Julian Carranza 18' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 37' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 45'+3' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 51' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 67' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 83' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Pineda Reyes 17'
  • goal Andrew Gutman 24'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 47'
  • yellowcard Dom Dwyer 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jose Andres Martinez 39' yellowcard
  • Kacper Przybylko 71' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 31'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Jun 20, 2021 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kacper Przybylko 58' goal
  • Erik Lopez 76' yellowcard
  • Anton Walkes 83' goal
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 30'
  • yellowcard Leon Flach 41'
  • yellowcard Anthony Fontana 53'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 60'
  • goal Cory Burke 84'
  • yellowcard Jamiro Monteiro 90'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Jun 20, 2020 10.30pm