Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
Result |
New England Revolution | Draw | Charlotte FC |
60.35% ( 0.18) | 21.23% ( -0.08) | 18.42% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( 0.09) |