Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Nacho Gil 28' yellowcard
  • Nacho Gil 28' yellowcard
  • Noel Buck 64' goal
  • Noel Buck 64' goal
  • David Romney 85' goal
  • David Romney 85' goal
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 37'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 37'
  • yellowcard Karol Swiderski 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Karol Swiderski 45'+2'
  • goal Karol Swiderski 84'
  • goal Karol Swiderski 84'

New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 2 New England
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Carles Gil

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati 3 - 0 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Karol Swiderski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result

New England Revolution 60.35% (+0.19)
Draw 21.23% (-0.09)
Charlotte FC 18.42% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.77% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.68% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 42.31% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 35.28% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 64.72% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 18.47% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 81.52% (-0.16)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 86.4% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 13.6% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 59.27% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 40.73% (-0.25)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 63.39% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.6% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.39% (-0.02)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 60.35%
Draw 21.23%
Charlotte FC 18.42%
New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.91% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.59% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.33% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.29% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 60.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.23%
Charlotte FC
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 18.42%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • goal Frederick Kessler 89'
Major League Soccer
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Buksa 8' goal
  • Matt Polster 29' yellowcard
  • Matt Polster 72' goal
  • Brandon Bye 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Makoun 57'
  • goal Christian Ortiz 85'
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2022 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Karol Swiderski 6' goal
  • Jordy Alcivar 29' yellowcard
  • Kristijan Kahlina 53' yellowcard
  • Karol Swiderski 57' goal
  • Ben Bender 64' goal
  • Alan Franco 89' yellowcard
  • Adam Armour 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omar Gonzalez 29'
  • goal Carles Gil 54'
  • yellowcard Brandon Bye 90'+2'