Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 41.79% ( | 25.18% ( | 33.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( | 47.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( | 69.33% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( | 22.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( | 56% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( | 27.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( | 62.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3% Total : 33.03% |