Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 8' pen., 16' pen., 16' pen., 23', 23')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Brady (8'), Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66'), Shaqiri (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 4-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Chicago Fire
65.91% ( -0.3)	18.92% ( 0.12)	15.17% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 55.7% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.35% (

-0.18)

37.66% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11% (

-0.19)

59.89% (

0.19)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.35% (

-0.13)

10.65% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.49% (

-0.28)

34.51% (

0.28)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35% (

0.12)

37.66% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.57% (

0.12)

74.43% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 65.91%

Chicago Fire 15.17%

Draw 18.92%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.6% Total : 65.91%	1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.92%	1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.17%