Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.