Major League Soccer

Oct 15, 2023 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
3 - 2
New England

McCarty (19', 19'), Surridge (30', 30', 45+3', 45+3')
Williams (42'), Williams (42'), McCarty (59'), McCarty (59')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Chancalay (49', 49', 71', 71')
Polster (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	New England Revolution
54.75% ( 0.02)	22.89% ( -0)	22.36% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.55% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68% (

-0.01)

44.32% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

-0.01)

66.7% (

0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

16.09% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.52% (

0.01)

45.48% (

-0.01)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.2% (

-0.03)

33.8% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

-0.03)

70.47% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 54.75%

New England Revolution 22.36%

Draw 22.88%

Nashville SC	Draw	New England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 54.75%	1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.88%	0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.36%