Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2023 1.30am
3
2
HT : 6 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Dax McCarty 19' goal
  • Dax McCarty 19' goal
  • Sam Surridge 30' goal
  • Sam Surridge 30' goal
  • Duncan Williams 42' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 42' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 45'+3' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+3' goal
  • Dax McCarty 59' yellowcard
  • Dax McCarty 59' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Chancalay 49'
  • goal Tomas Chancalay 49'
  • goal Tomas Chancalay 71'
  • goal Tomas Chancalay 71'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 90'

Nashville SC vs New England Revolution - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia 0 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Duncan Williams

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City 3 - 2 New England
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Carles Gil

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result

Nashville SC 54.75% (+0.03)
Draw 22.89% (-0.01)
New England Revolution 22.36% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.55% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.68% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.32% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.3% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.7% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.01% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.98% (+0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 83.91% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.09% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 54.52% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 45.48% (-0.01)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 66.2% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 33.8% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.53% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 70.47% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 54.75%
Draw 22.88%
New England Revolution 22.36%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.53% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 54.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 5.44% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.88%
New England Revolution
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.36%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Gustavo Bou 52' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 22
Aug 5, 2021 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gustavo Bou 34' yellowcard
  • Andrew Farrell 37' yellowcard
  • Wilfrid Kaptoum 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt LaGrassa 33'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • CJ Sapong 25' goal
  • Daniel Lovitz 28' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 75' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard DeJuan Jones 57'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Oct 24, 2020 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dax McCarty 62' yellowcard
  • Brian Anunga 66' yellowcard
  • Walker Zimmerman 74' goal
  • goal Adam Buksa 77'
  • yellowcard Kekuta Manneh 89'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • yellowcard Jalil Anibaba 80'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Jul 12, 2020 12.30am