Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
3 - 2
New England

McGuire (31', 31'), Torres (37', 37'), Angulo (45', 45')

FT(HT: 6-2)

Gil (42', 42', 90+3', 90+3')
McNamara (84'), McNamara (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	New England Revolution
56.24% ( -0.68)	22.03% ( 0.04)	21.72% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 57.55% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.76% (

0.65)

41.24% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.36% (

0.66)

63.63% (

-0.66)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.48% (

14.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.46% (

42.54% (

-0.01)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33% (

0.97)

32.67% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.78% (

1.07)

69.21% (

-1.07)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 56.24%

New England Revolution 21.72%

Draw 22.03%

Orlando City	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 56.24%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.03%	1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.72%