Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 43.47%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.35%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.