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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
vs.
Rosario

FT
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huracan 1-0 Arsenal
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 3-1 River Plate
Saturday, November 11 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (12.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawRosario Central
36.71% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 29.64% (0.159 0.16) 33.65% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 43.03% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36% (-0.521 -0.52)64% (0.51799999999999 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.81% (-0.374 -0.37)83.18% (0.369 0.37)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (-0.307 -0.31)33.36% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.336 -0.34)69.98% (0.333 0.33)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)35.42% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81% (-0.375 -0.38)72.19% (0.37200000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 36.71%
    Rosario Central 33.65%
    Draw 29.63%
Arsenal SarandiDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 12.97% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 13.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.81% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.63%
0-1 @ 12.26% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 33.65%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Rosario
2-1
Arsenal
Mac Allister (30'), Veliz (49')
Guzman (3')
Jul 27, 2022 12am
Gameweek 10
Arsenal
0-3
Rosario
Chimino (20')
Marinelli (31')
Feb 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 1
Arsenal
1-1
Rosario
Lomonaco (10')
Gariglio (32'), Suarez (56'), Miloc (90+3')
Ruben (33')
Tanlongo (72'), Vecchio (90+3')
Aug 25, 2021 6.15pm
Second Phase
Rosario
4-0
Arsenal
Gamba (8', 10', 33'), Ruben (16')
Covea (38')

Ortiz (60')
Ortiz (73')
Mar 15, 2021 10.15pm
First Phase
Rosario
2-1
Arsenal
Martinez (43'), Rabunal (83')
Sangiovani (38'), Cucchi (58')
Albertengo (90+4')
Suarez (63')
rhs 2.0
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