Major League Soccer

Nov 9, 2023 at 12am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
0 - 1
Philadelphia

Gil (90+4'), Gil (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Donovan (79', 79')
Lowe (33'), Mbaizo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-1 New England
Saturday, October 28 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-1 New England
Saturday, October 28 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
45.3% ( 1.1)	23.54% ( 0.55)	31.16% ( -1.65)

Both teams to score 61.38% (

-2.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.75% (

-3.41)

40.25% (

3.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.38% (

-3.6)

62.62% (

3.6)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

-0.92)

18.07% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51% (

-1.59)

48.99% (

1.58)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

-2.61)

25.08% (

2.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

-3.74)

59.76% (

3.74)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 45.3%

Philadelphia Union 31.16%

Draw 23.54%

New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.96) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.64) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.71% Total : 45.3%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.68) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.16%