Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Feb 20, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Independiente Rivadavia

Iacobellis (2'), Romero (45'), Zalazar (50'), Heredia (55')
Santamaria (13'), Palacio (46'), Meza (77'), Herrera (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Benavidez (32'), Ramis (83')
Bianchi (66'), Castro (69'), Ham (90+6'), Maidana (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Independiente Rivadavia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Talleres 2-1 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, February 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-2 Instituto
Friday, February 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 14.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
62.09% (-0.212 -0.21)23.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)14.89% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 42.2% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.64% (0.14400000000001 0.14)55.36% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43% (0.118 0.12)76.57% (-0.116 -0.12)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)47.91% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.12% (0.338 0.34)48.89% (-0.336 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.13% (0.24 0.24)83.87% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 62.09%
    Independiente Rivadavia 14.89%
    Draw 23.01%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 14.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 13% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.57% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 62.09%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.81% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.18% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.89%