MX23RW : Friday, April 19 05:43:50| >> :600:836827:836827:
New England Revolution
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 1, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Gillette Stadium
Independiente

New England
3 - 0
Independiente

Gil (8'), Chancalay (58'), Kaye (90+3')
Vrioni (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Modelo (39')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between New England Revolution and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 0-1 Racing
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 57.81%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 21.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawIndependiente
57.81% (-0.171 -0.17) 20.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 21.66% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 62.91% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.82% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)34.18% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.93% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)56.07% (0.07 0.07)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.25% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)11.75% (0.068 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.1% (-0.139 -0.14)36.9% (0.145 0.14)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.079000000000008 0.08)28.71% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.097999999999999 0.1)64.54% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 57.81%
    Independiente 21.66%
    Draw 20.53%
New England RevolutionDrawIndependiente
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.3% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 3.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 57.81%
1-1 @ 9.01% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.37% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 21.66%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2024 1am
First Round 1st Leg
Independiente
0-1
New England

Fields (12'), De la Espada (48'), Murillo (51')
Chancalay (54')
Vrioni (28')
rhs 2.0
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