Major League Soccer

Feb 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
3 - 1
New England

Benteke (34', 34', 72', 72', 90+2', 90+3')
Santos (49'), Santos (49'), Stroud (54'), Stroud (54'), Fletcher (77'), Fletcher (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gil (67', 67')
Vrioni (12'), Vrioni (12'), Gil (39'), Gil (39'), Chancalay (70'), Chancalay (70'), Harkes (90'), Harkes (90')
Vrioni (25'), Vrioni (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-0 NY City
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Independiente 0-1 New England
Thursday, February 22 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	New England Revolution
43.18% ( -1.68)	23.79% ( 0.22)	33.03% ( 1.46)

Both teams to score 61.34% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.34% (

-0.46)

40.66% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.95% (

-0.48)

63.04% (

0.48)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.88% (

-0.89)

19.12% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.24% (

-1.49)

50.76% (

1.49)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

0.64)

24.16% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

0.9)

58.47% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

DC United 43.18%

New England Revolution 33.03%

Draw 23.78%

DC United	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.33% Total : 43.18%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.03%