Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
2 - 0
NY City

Klich (45', 45'), Durkin (62', 62')
Birnbaum (45+1'), Birnbaum (45+1'), Canouse (67'), Canouse (67'), Klich (90+2'), Klich (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

O'Toole (74'), O'Toole (75'), Perea (90+7'), Perea (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 3-0 DC United
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Sunday, October 1 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	New York City FC
48.77% ( -0.32)	25.82% ( -0.01)	25.41% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 49.76% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.39% (

0.27)

53.61% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.89% (

0.23)

75.11% (

-0.23)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

-0.03)

22% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69% (

-0.04)

55.31% (

0.04)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.8% (

0.43)

36.2% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.01% (

0.43)

72.98% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

DC United 48.76%

New York City FC 25.41%

Draw 25.82%

DC United	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 48.76%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.41%