Major League Soccer

Sep 24, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
3 - 5
NY Red Bulls

Benteke (21', 21', 36', 36', 45+2' pen., 45+2' pen.)
Canouse (25'), Canouse (25'), Hines-Ike (55'), Hines-Ike (55'), Benteke (83'), Benteke (83')

FT(HT: 6-6)

Fernandez (17', 17', 44' pen., 44' pen.), Harper (45+5', 45+5'), Nealis (58', 58'), Tolkin (90+3', 90+3')
Duncan (64'), Duncan (64'), Nealis (66'), Nealis (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Austin
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
46.93% ( -1.22)	25.98% ( 0.3)	27.09% ( 0.92)

Both teams to score 50.65% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.88% (

-0.59)

53.12% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3% (

-0.51)

74.69% (

0.51)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37% (

-0.8)

22.62% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.75% (

-1.2)

56.24% (

1.2)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

0.44)

34.53% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

0.46)

71.25% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

DC United 46.93%

New York Red Bulls 27.09%

Draw 25.98%

DC United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) Other @ 3% Total : 46.93%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.09%