Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Emiliano Rigoni 7' goal
  • Emiliano Rigoni 7' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 8' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 8' yellowcard
  • Troy Lesesne 9' yellowcard
  • T 9' yellowcard
  • Dru Yearwood 61' yellowcard
  • Dru Yearwood 61' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 44'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 44'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Urruti 82'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Urruti 82'
  • yellowcard Nick Lima 84'
  • yellowcard Nick Lima 84'

New York Red Bulls vs Austin FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
NY City 0 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Elias Manoel

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 18, 2023 1.30am
Austin 1 - 2 Portland
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Sebastian Driussi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

New York Red Bulls 55.35% (-0.14)
Draw 23.62% (+0.06)
Austin FC 21.02% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.32% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.97% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 49.03% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 28.89% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 71.11% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 13.91% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.09% (+0.07)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 82.43% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 17.57% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 51.88% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 48.12% (+0.15)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 62.26% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.74% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 25.48% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 74.52% (-0.03)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 55.35%
Draw 23.62%
Austin FC 21.02%
New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.53% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 55.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.63% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.62%
Austin FC
0-1 @ 6.46% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.47% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.15% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.02%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2022 1.00am
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Felipe 4' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 45' goal
  • Alexander Ring 57' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 69' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 81' goal
  • goal Serge Ngoma 14'
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 21'
  • goal Dru Yearwood 26'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 48'
  • goal Cameron Harper 51'
  • yellowcard Tom Edwards 64'
  • goal Tom Barlow 65'