Major League Soccer

Oct 1, 2023 at 1.32am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
1 - 1
NY City

Aviles (90+5', 90+5')
Cremaschi (33'), Cremaschi (33'), Aviles (40'), Aviles (40'), Farias (62'), Farias (62'), Krivtsov (69'), Krivtsov (69'), Arroyo (70'), Arroyo (70'), Allen (90+8'), Allen (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (77', 77')
Ledezma (52'), Ledezma (52'), Jasson (81'), Jasson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Houston
Thursday, September 28 at 1.30am in US Open Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	New York City FC
44.01% ( -3.58)	25.66% ( 0.73)	30.33% ( 2.85)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.86% (

-1.53)

50.13% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9% (

-1.38)

72.1% (

1.38)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

-2.24)

22.71% (

2.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

-3.44)

56.37% (

3.44)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.46% (

1.3)

30.54% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

1.51)

66.77% (

-1.51)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 44.01%

New York City FC 30.33%

Draw 25.66%

Inter Miami	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.5) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.01%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.77) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.33%