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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
4 - 0
Toronto

Farias (45+3'), Taylor (54', 87'), Cremaschi (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 5-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

The hosts' main goal is to reach the playoff spots this season, and with key personnel expected to return to the squad for this match, we should see a much better display than they managed last week against Atlanta. Toronto's away record this season has been woeful, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
59.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 21.57% (0.0039999999999978 0) 18.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.123 -0.12)42.94% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.122 -0.12)65.34% (0.123 0.12)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.08% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)41.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.148 -0.15)36.35% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.149 -0.15)73.13% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 59.44%
    Toronto 18.99%
    Draw 21.56%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.99%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
89.5%
Draw
7.9%
Toronto
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 1am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Toronto
0-1
Inter Miami
Mavinga (31'), Laryea (61'), Delgado (67')
Lawrence (37')
Gregore (53'), Robinson (68'), Gonzalez Pirez (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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