Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal

Inter Miami vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 10.00pm
Atlanta 5 - 2 Inter Miami
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Leonardo Campana

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
Toronto 1 - 2 Vancouver
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result

Inter Miami 59.44% (+0.07)
Draw 21.57% (+0.01)
Toronto 18.99% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.69% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.06% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 42.94% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 34.66% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 65.34% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 18.02% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 81.98% (+0.10)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 85.92% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.08% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 58.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 41.68% (+0.05)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 63.65% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 36.35% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 26.87% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 73.13% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 59.44%
Draw 21.56%
Toronto 18.99%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 10.03% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.84% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.56%
Toronto
0-1 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.99%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Jonathan Osorio 48' goal
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 69' goal
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 86'
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jean Mota 24' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 44' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 28'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 56'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Federico Higuain 10' goal
  • Federico Higuain 11' yellowcard
  • Christian Makoun 45' goal
  • Eriq Zavaleta 61' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 75' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 32
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Mavinga 31' yellowcard
  • Kemar Lawrence 37' redcard
  • Richie Laryea 61' yellowcard
  • Marco Delgado 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 53'
  • yellowcard Robbie Robinson 68'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 72'
  • goal Christian Makoun 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Aug 22, 2021 1.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rodolfo Pizarro 15' goal
  • Jorge Figal 27' yellowcard
  • Robbie Robinson 35' goal
  • Rodolfo Pizarro 48' goal
  • Robbie Robinson 51' yellowcard
  • Gregore 61' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Gibbs 62' (OG)
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 65'