Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Andres Perea 2' goal
  • Andres Jasson 45'+4' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 54' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 30'

New York City FC vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
NY City 2 - 0 Orlando City
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Gabriel Pereira

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami 4 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result

New York City FC 71.55% (+0.23)
Draw 17.19% (-0.07)
Toronto 11.26% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.14% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.89% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 39.11% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 38.56% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 61.43% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 21% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 79% (+0.14)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 90.34% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 9.66% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 67.76% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 32.23% (-0.03)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 55.5% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 44.5% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 19.47% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 80.53% (+0.33)

Score analysis

New York City FC 71.54%
Draw 17.19%
Toronto 11.26%
New York City FC
2-0 @ 11.74% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 10.04% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 9.15% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.35% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.5% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 71.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.13% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.3% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 17.19%
Toronto
0-1 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 11.26%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • CJ Sapong 46' goal
Major League Soccer
Apr 24, 2022 10.00pm
5
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Valentin Castellanos 38' goal
  • Nicolas Acevedo 40' yellowcard
  • Thiago Andrade 49' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 54' goal
  • Keaton Parks 58' goal
  • Gabriel Pereira 75' goal
  • Alfredo Morales 83' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Morales 90' redcard
  • goal Jesus Jimenez 13'
  • goal Jesus Jimenez 27'
  • yellowcard Jesus Jimenez 44'
  • goal Deandre Kerr 87'
  • goal Michael Bradley 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2022 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jesus Jimenez 31' goal
  • Thiago Martins 43' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago Martins 59'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 59'
  • goal Heber 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Aug 8, 2021 1.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Yeferson Soteldo 25' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 36' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 49' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 55' goal
  • Ralph Priso-Mbongue 63' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 12'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 21'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 7
May 15, 2021 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Nicolas Acevedo 30' yellowcard
  • Andres Jasson 42' yellowcard
  • Jesus Medina 53' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Mavinga 65'
  • goal Jacob Shaffelburg 74'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 22
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
  • Justin Morrow 3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 45'+1'
  • goal Jesus Medina 51'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 75'
  • yellowcard Jesus Medina 90'+2'