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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 29, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
1 - 2
Argentinos Jrs

Suarez (48')
Rodriguez (18'), Perez (78'), Brizuela (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Romero (82'), Herrera (90+5')
Veron (53'), Moyano (59'), Lescano (78'), Diaz (79')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-0 Rosario
Wednesday, March 20 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 38.24%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 30.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.28%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
InstitutoDrawArgentinos Juniors
30.52% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 31.25% (0.215 0.22) 38.24% (-0.166 -0.17)
Both teams to score 38.5% (-0.514 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.87% (-0.602 -0.6)69.13% (0.598 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.33% (-0.393 -0.39)86.67% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35% (-0.393 -0.39)40.65% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (-0.353 -0.35)77.24% (0.35000000000001 0.35)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.437 -0.44)35.13% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.459 -0.46)71.88% (0.45699999999999 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 30.51%
    Argentinos Juniors 38.24%
    Draw 31.24%
InstitutoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.85% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 30.51%
0-0 @ 14.28% (0.31 0.31)
1-1 @ 13.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 31.24%
0-1 @ 14.94% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.24%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Argentinos Jrs
1-2
Instituto
Gondou (81')
Martin Arias (70')
Martinez (72' pen.), Acevedo (90+7')
Rodriguez (76'), Acevedo (90+9'), Aued (90+1')
Jul 6, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 23
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Instituto
Veron (84')
Cuello (15'), Alarcon (75'), Corda (80'), Martinez (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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