Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 37.5%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 30.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-2 (6.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.94%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (13.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.