Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.