Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 8, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Municipal El Alto

Always Ready
3 - 0
Defensa

Rodriguez (11', 11', 19'), Tanque (44', 47'), Cuellar (48', 50')
Vaccari (0'), Torres (87')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Lopez (5'), Flavio Torres Diaz (13'), Lopez (13'), Herrera (21'), Herrera (23'), Burgos (60'), Burgos (67'), Ramos Mingo (71'), Ramos Mingo (76'), Schamine (89'), Schamine (89'), Schamine (90')
Caceres (90+6')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Always Ready and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Always Ready

Last Game: Always Ready 2-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Medellin 2-1 Defensa
Friday, April 26 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Always Ready would win this match.

Result
Always Ready	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
51% ( 0.11)	25.89% ( -0.04)	23.11% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 47.29% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.31% (

0.08)

55.69% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.16% (

0.06)

76.84% (

-0.06)

Always Ready Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

0.08)

21.89% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

0.12)

55.15% (

-0.13)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.55% (

-0.03)

39.45% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.86% (

-0.03)

76.15% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Always Ready 51%

Defensa y Justicia 23.11%

Draw 25.89%

Always Ready	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 51%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.11%