Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 8, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Mansiche

Cesar Vallejo
1 - 5
Medellin

Velez (21', 26')
Velez (17'), Deneumostier (19'), Velez (21'), Deneumostier (25')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Muniz (15', 21', 40', 45'), Garcia (51', 59'), Monsalve (64', 73'), Perlaza (73', 79')
Chaverra (31'), Chaverra (39')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cesar Vallejo and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesar Vallejo

Last Game: Always Ready 2-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Independiente Medellin

Last Game: Medellin 2-1 Defensa
Friday, April 26 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result
Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Independiente Medellin
35.96% ( -0)	26.1% ( -0)	37.94% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.86% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.37%

50.63% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.46%

72.54% (

-0)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

-0)

27.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43%

62.57% (

-0)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

-0)

26.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92%

61.07% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cesar Vallejo 35.96%

Independiente Medellin 37.94%

Draw 26.1%

Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.96%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.41% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.94%