Copa Sudamericana
Sep 26, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Jimer Fory 28' yellowcard
  • Jimer Fory 28' yellowcard
  • Daniel Londono 37' yellowcard
  • Daniel Londono 37' yellowcard
  • Mender Garcia 61' goal
  • Mender Garcia 61' goal
  • Brayan Muniz 84' yellowcard
  • Brayan Muniz 84' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Londono 39' (OG)
  • goal Daniel Londono 39' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lautaro Acosta 45'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Acosta 45'
  • yellowcard Felipe Pena Biafore 73'
  • yellowcard Felipe Pena Biafore 73'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 90'+4'

Independiente Medellin vs Lanus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
Lanus 0 - 0 Medellin

Lanus

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
Lanus 0 - 0 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Independiente Medellin 36.48% (+0.12)
Draw 29.06% (+0.13)
Lanus 34.46% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.67% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.94% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 62.06% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 18.22% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 81.78% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 7.34% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 92.66% (+0.19)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 67.5% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 32.5% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 30.98% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 69.02% (+0.19)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5 66.17% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 33.82% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 29.51% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 70.49% (+0.44)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 36.47%
Draw 29.06%
Lanus 34.46%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 12.35% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.94% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.6% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.39% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.99% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.06%
Lanus
0-1 @ 11.91% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.46% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.46%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
  • Abel Luciatti 28' goal
  • Raul Loaiza 43' yellowcard
  • Raul Loaiza 43' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Carrera 72' yellowcard
  • Baldomero Perlaza 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brayan Muniz 40'
  • yellowcard Brayan Muniz 40'
  • yellowcard Baldomero Perlaza 71'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Carrera 71'
  • yellowcard Luis Sandoval 79'
  • yellowcard Luis Sandoval 79'