Copa Sudamericana
Aug 15, 2024 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
  • Ivan Roman 48' goal
  • Ivan Roman 48' goal
  • Jonathan Benitez 50' goal
  • Jonathan Benitez 50' goal
  • Nicolas Linares 64' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Linares 64' yellowcard
  • goal Joaquin Varela 41'
  • goal Joaquin Varela 41'
  • yellowcard Baldomero Perlaza 84'
  • yellowcard Baldomero Perlaza 84'
  • goal Joaquin Varela 90'+3'
  • goal Joaquin Varela 90'+3'

Palestino vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

All competitions

Independiente Medellin

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Palestino 39.04% (-0.21)
Draw 26.93% (+0.09)
Independiente Medellin 34.02% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.91% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.72% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 54.27% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 24.33% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 75.67% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 10.94% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 89.06% (+0.18)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 72.88% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 27.12% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 37.49% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 62.51% (+0.36)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 69.86% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 30.14% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 33.71% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.29% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Palestino 39.04%
Draw 26.93%
Independiente Medellin 34.02%
Palestino
1-0 @ 10.66% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 39.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.17% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.93%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 9.8% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.02%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Feb 12, 2019 11.30pm
1
1
ET Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)
  • Jesus Murillo 45' goal
  • Larry Angulo 45' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Jimenez 42'
  • yellowcard Luis Jimenez 43'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Gonzalez 45'
  • yellowcard Luis Mago 45'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Soto 92'
Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Feb 6, 2019 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)
  • Julian Fernandez 64' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 74' yellowcard
  • Enzo Guerrero 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dairon Mosquera 27'
  • goal German Cano 60'
  • yellowcard William Parra 61'
  • yellowcard Larry Angulo 70'