Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 29, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
3 - 1
Palestino

Bizama (35' og., 35' og.), Martinez (46' og., 46' og.), da Costa (87', 87')
Sagredo (38'), Sagredo (38')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Chamorro (68', 68')
Linares (16'), Linares (16'), Suarez (45+4'), Suarez (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Bolivar and Palestino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Bolivar
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Palestino

Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Palestino
Wednesday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Palestino win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result
Bolivar	Draw	Palestino
68.87% ( 0.15)	16.71% ( -0.02)	14.42% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 62.51% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.77% (

-0.18)

28.23% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.97% (

-0.23)

49.03% (

0.23)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.51% (

-0.02)

7.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.11% (

-0.04)

26.89% (

0.05)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57% (

-0.28)

32.42% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06% (

-0.32)

68.94% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Bolivar 68.87%

Palestino 14.42%

Draw 16.71%

Bolivar	Draw	Palestino
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 68.87%	1-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.71%	1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 14.42%