Copa Libertadores
May 29, 2024 1.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Jose Bizama 35' goal
  • Jose Bizama 35' goal
  • Jose Sagredo 38' yellowcard
  • Jose Sagredo 38' yellowcard
  • Ariel Martinez 46' goal
  • Ariel Martinez 46' goal
  • Francisco da Costa 87' goal
  • Francisco da Costa 87' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Linares 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Linares 16'
  • yellowcard Cristian Suarez 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Cristian Suarez 45'+4'
  • goal Felipe Chamorro 68'
  • goal Felipe Chamorro 68'

Bolivar vs Palestino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Flamengo 4 - 0 Bolivar

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 15, 2024 3.00am
Millonarios 1 - 1 Palestino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Palestino win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result

Bolivar 68.87% (+0.16)
Draw 16.71% (-0.03)
Palestino 14.42% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.51% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.77% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 28.23% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 50.97% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 49.03% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 31.63% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 68.37% (+0.22)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5 92.51% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 7.49% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 73.11% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.89% (+0.05)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 67.57% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 32.42% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 31.06% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 68.94% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Bolivar 68.87%
Draw 16.71%
Palestino 14.42%
Bolivar
2-1 @ 9.18% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.15% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 7.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.29% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.57% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.47% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.9% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 68.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.09% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.43% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.71%
Palestino
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 14.42%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 5, 2024 1.00am
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
  • Ivan Roman 24' yellowcard
  • Ivan Roman 24' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Rojas 33' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Rojas 33' yellowcard
  • Fernando Cornejo 36' yellowcard
  • Fernando Cornejo 36' yellowcard
  • Ivan Roman 45'+2' redcard
  • Bryan Carrasco 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ivan Roman 45'+2' redcard
  • Bryan Carrasco 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dylan Zuniga 61' yellowcard
  • Dylan Zuniga 61' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco da Costa 27'
  • goal Francisco da Costa 27'
  • goal Francisco da Costa 34'
  • goal Francisco da Costa 34'
  • yellowcard Renzo Orihuela 58'
  • yellowcard Renzo Orihuela 58'
  • goal Bruno Savio 63'
  • goal Bruno Savio 63'
  • goal Ramiro Vaca 83'
  • goal Ramiro Vaca 83'