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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios
1 - 1
Palestino

Esteban Carvajal Granados (40'), Carvajal (40')
Giraldo (64'), Giraldo (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marabel (90+2', 90+2')
Marabel (61'), Marabel (61'), Benitez (62'), Benitez (62'), Ariel Espinoza Hevia (88'), Espinoza (88'), Suarez (90+4'), Suarez (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millonarios

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Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Bolivar
Thursday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Palestino

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Last Game: Palestino 1-0 Flamengo
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
MillonariosDrawPalestino
55.55% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.54% (0.019000000000002 0.02)19.9% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)53.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)19.34% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)51.12% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25% (0.085999999999999 0.09)41.75% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (0.074999999999999 0.07)78.22% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Millonarios 55.53%
    Palestino 19.9%
    Draw 24.54%
MillonariosDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 13.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 55.53%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.9%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Palestino
3-1
Millonarios
Chamorro (19', 42'), Vejar (75')
Abrigo (58')
Castro (32')
Vega (38')