Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 9, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios
1 - 1
Bolivar

Llinas (43', 43')
Rosales (58'), Giraldo (61'), Giraldo (61'), Enrique Rosales Martinez (66'), Rosales (66'), Giordana (84'), Giordana (84'), Llinas (90+8'), Llinas (90+8')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vaca (67', 67')
Rodriguez (34'), Rodriguez (34'), Savio (81'), Savio (81'), Justiniano (90'), Vaca (90+5'), Justiniano (90'), Vaca (90+5')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millonarios

Last Game: Palestino 3-1 Millonarios
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Bolivar

Last Game: Bolivar 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Millonarios	Draw	Bolivar
52.19% ( -0.09)	23.75% ( 0.05)	24.06% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.82% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72% (

-0.2)

46.28% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

-0.19)

68.57% (

0.19)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

-0.11)

17.72% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

-0.19)

48.38% (

0.18)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

-0.08)

33.37% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

-0.09)

69.99% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Millonarios 52.19%

Bolivar 24.06%

Draw 23.75%

Millonarios	Draw	Bolivar
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.19%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 24.06%