Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.