Brasileiro | Gameweek 2

Apr 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Araujo (20', 20'), de la Cruz (54', 54')
Bruno (26'), Bruno (26')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ferreira (79', 79')
Vinicius (3'), Vinicius (3'), Araujo (40'), Araujo (40'), Luciano (88'), Luciano (88')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 14 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Sao Paulo
54.05% ( 1.06)	25.46% ( -0.26)	20.49% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 45.32% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.39% (

0.1)

56.61% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.41% (

0.08)

77.58% (

-0.08)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01% (

0.48)

20.98% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.25% (

0.75)

53.75% (

-0.75)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.36% (

-0.8)

42.64% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.01% (

-0.68)

78.99% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 54.04%

Sao Paulo 20.49%

Draw 25.45%

Flamengo	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.97% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.04%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.05% Total : 20.49%