Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 11, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Cobresal

Silva (82', 82'), Calleri (88', 88')
Carpini (19'), Carpini (19'), Luciano (26'), Luciano (26'), Maia (29'), Maia (29'), Galoppo (72'), Galoppo (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bechtholdt Chervaz (18'), Bechtholdt (18'), Castro Gutierrez (28'), Castro (28'), Valencia (67'), Valencia (67'), Navarro (86'), Navarro (86'), Filla (90'), Filla (90')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sao Paulo and Cobresal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Talleres 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Cobresal

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Cobresal 1-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 8.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Cobresal win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Cobresal
75.8% ( -0.18)	15.7% ( 0.06)	8.5% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 44.36% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.21% (

0.17)

40.79% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.82% (

0.17)

63.18% (

-0.17)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.92% (

-0)

9.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.15% (

-0)

30.85%

Cobresal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.79% (

0.4)

51.21% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.52% (

0.26)

85.48% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 75.79%

Cobresal 8.5%

Draw 15.7%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Cobresal
2-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 75.79%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.59% Total : 15.7%	0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 8.5%