Brasileiro | Gameweek 37

Dec 3, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Raimundo Sampaio

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Hulk (77', 77'), Paulinho (90+4', 90+4')
Arana (65'), Arana (65'), Hulk (78'), Hulk (78'), Mendes (89'), Mendes (89'), Paulinho (90+5'), Paulinho (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luciano (90+1', 90+1' pen.)
Araujo (46'), Araujo (46')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Last Game: Flamengo 0-3 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, November 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
51.73% ( -0.87)	25.9% ( 0.36)	22.37% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 46.44% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62% (

-0.84)

56.38% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

-0.68)

77.4% (

0.68)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

-0.72)

21.86% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.9% (

-1.1)

55.1% (

1.1)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.44% (

0.03)

40.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.84% (

0.03)

77.16% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 51.73%

Sao Paulo 22.37%

Draw 25.89%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.48% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) Other @ 3% Total : 51.73%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.37%