Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 2, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios
1 - 1
Flamengo

Ruiz (80')
Castro (21')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedro (64' pen.)
Araujo (84')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millonarios

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Millonarios
Thursday, July 27 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1

Flamengo

All competitions

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Millonarios win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Millonarios	Draw	Flamengo
24.03% ( -0.57)	25.96% ( -0.14)	50.01% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 48.05% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.81% (

0.07)

55.19% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.57% (

0.06)

76.43% (

-0.06)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.7% (

-0.47)

38.3% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.94% (

-0.46)

75.06% (

0.46)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.34)

22.11% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

0.51)

55.48% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Millonarios 24.03%

Flamengo 50.01%

Draw 25.96%

Millonarios	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.56% Total : 24.03%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.01%