Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 11, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
3 - 2
Millonarios

Sagredo (3'), da Costa (10'), Savio (34')
Savio (38'), da Costa (75')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Castro (45+1', 72' pen.)
Pablo Vargas (15'), Castro (38')
Alfonzo (90+5')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Millonarios.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

Last Game: Palestino 0-4 Bolivar
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Millonarios

Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Flamengo
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result
Bolivar	Draw	Millonarios
55.7% ( -0.05)	22.74% ( -0)	21.56% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37% (

0.08)

44.63% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.01% (

0.08)

67% (

-0.08)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.13% (

0.01)

15.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.92% (

0.02)

45.08% (

-0.02)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27% (

0.1)

34.73% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54% (

0.11)

71.46% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Bolivar 55.7%

Millonarios 21.56%

Draw 22.73%

Bolivar	Draw	Millonarios
1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.7%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.73%	0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.56%