Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 26, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Palestino
3 - 1
Millonarios

Chamorro (19', 19', 42', 42'), Vejar (75', 75')
Abrigo (58'), Abrigo (58')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Castro (32', 32')
Vega (38'), Vega (38')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palestino and Millonarios.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Palestino
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Millonarios

Last Game: Bolivar 3-2 Millonarios
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.

Result
Palestino	Draw	Millonarios
38.49% ( 0.05)	27.41% ( -0.02)	34.09% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.43% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.85% (

0.06)

56.15% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.79% (

0.05)

77.21% (

-0.05)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.67% (

0.06)

28.33% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.94% (

0.07)

64.06% (

-0.07)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97% (

0.01)

31.03% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.65% (

0.01)

67.34% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Palestino 38.48%

Millonarios 34.09%

Draw 27.41%

Palestino	Draw	Millonarios
1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.48%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.09%