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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Palestino
1 - 3
Nacional

Suarez (84', 84')
Abrigo (8'), Abrigo (8'), Carrasco (11'), Carrasco (12'), Suarez (55'), Suarez (55'), Sosa (66'), Sosa (66'), Rojas (90+1'), Rojas (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Duarte (44', 44'), Gaona Lugo (48', 48'), Fernando Alfaro (67', 67')
Pablo Pumpido (9'), Pablo Pumpido (9'), Velazco (11'), Velazco (12'), Bailone (34'), Bailone (34'), Ojeda (87'), Ojeda (87')
Palestino win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Palestino and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

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Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Palestino
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Club Nacional

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Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Palestino
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
PalestinoDrawClub Nacional
56.96% (0.49 0.49)23.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)19.45% (-0.504 -0.5)
Both teams to score 49.05% (-0.84 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.709 -0.71)50.84% (0.713 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.628 -0.63)72.72% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)17.64% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (-0.14 -0.14)48.25% (0.144 0.14)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (-0.95800000000001 -0.96)40.45% (0.962 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (-0.88 -0.88)77.06% (0.884 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 56.95%
    Club Nacional 19.45%
    Draw 23.58%
PalestinoDrawClub Nacional
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 56.95%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.202 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.45%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 12.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Nacional
0-2
Palestino

Blasi (41'), Caballero (45+2'), Santacruz (80'), Arevalo (81'), Caballero (90+3')
Carrasco (47'), Sosa (50')
Cornejo (63')