-
Juan Gonzalez
12'
-
Juan Gonzalez
13'
-
Mario Sanabria
33'
-
Mario Sanabria
33'
-
Jeison Medina
85'
-
Jeison Medina
85'
-
Luis Canga
90'+2'
-
Luis Canga
90'+2'
-
Edgardo Orzusa
28'
-
Edgardo Orzusa
28'
-
Antony Silva
53'
-
Antony Silva
53'
-
Eduardo Duarte
66'
-
Eduardo Duarte
66'
-
Jordan Santacruz
71'
-
Jordan Santacruz
72'
-
Sergio Ojeda
83'
-
Sergio Ojeda
83'
Aucas vs Club Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aucas in this match.
Result
Aucas
44.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
25.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Club Nacional
29.49%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
50.1%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
27.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
72.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
13.27%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
86.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Aucas Goals
Over 0.5
77.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
22.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
44.32%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
55.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
68.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
31.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
32.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
67.45%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Aucas
44.95%
Draw
25.55%
Club Nacional
29.49%
Aucas
1-0
@
10.4%
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.95%
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.95%
Draw
1-1
@
12.14%
0-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.55%
0-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.55%
Club Nacional
0-1
@
8.08%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.49%
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.49%