Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
0 - 3
Nacional

Ocampo (22'), Ocampo (22'), Ramirez (66'), Ramirez (67'), Mosquera (90+1'), Mosquera (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Fernando Alfaro (24', 24'), Arevalo (72', 72'), Ezequiel Velazco Flores (90+2' pen.), Velazco (90+2' pen.)
Caballero (45+4'), Caballero (45+4')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Atletico Nacional and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Nacional

Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Club Nacional

Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Nacional	Draw	Club Nacional
52.74% ( -0.34)	25.15% ( -0.04)	22.11% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 48.22% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.12% (

0.5)

53.87% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.66% (

0.42)

75.33% (

-0.42)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

0.06)

20.43% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13% (

0.1)

52.87% (

-0.1)

Club Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.6% (

0.66)

39.4% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.9% (

0.61)

76.09% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Atletico Nacional 52.73%

Club Nacional 22.11%

Draw 25.15%

Atletico Nacional	Draw	Club Nacional
1-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.73%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.11%