MX23RW : Sunday, July 21 08:18:58| >> :600:3247430:3247430:
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Nacional
1 - 0
Atletico Nacional

Duarte (49')
Orzusa (45'), Blasi (51'), Ojeda (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castro (49'), Duque (87'), Mejia (90')
Castro (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Club Nacional and Atletico Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Aucas
Friday, February 16 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Racing 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Nacional in this match.

Result
Club NacionalDrawAtletico Nacional
43.73% (-0.388 -0.39) 27.18% (0.348 0.35) 29.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.39% (-0.991 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-1.279 -1.28)56.66% (1.279 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37% (-1.041 -1.04)77.62% (1.04 1.04)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.774 -0.77)25.72% (0.774 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-1.06 -1.06)60.64% (1.059 1.06)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)34.85% (0.65 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (-0.689 -0.69)71.59% (0.691 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Club Nacional 43.73%
    Atletico Nacional 29.08%
    Draw 27.18%
Club NacionalDrawAtletico Nacional
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.73%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.294 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 29.08%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Crystal Palace00000000
8Everton00000000
9Fulham00000000
10Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
11Leicester CityLeicester00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Southampton00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!