Copa Libertadores
-
Edgardo Orzusa
45'
-
Edgardo Orzusa
45'
-
Diego Duarte
49'
-
Diego Duarte
49'
-
Brian Blasi
51'
-
Brian Blasi
51'
-
Sergio Ojeda
79'
-
Sergio Ojeda
79'
-
Joan Sebastian Castro Dinas
49'
-
Joan Castro
49'
-
Jefferson Duque
87'
-
Jefferson Duque
87'
-
Robert Mejia
90'
-
Robert Mejia
90'
-
Joan Sebastian Castro Dinas
90'+2'
-
Joan Castro
90'+2'
Club Nacional vs Atletico Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Nacional in this match.
Result
Club Nacional
43.73%
▼
(-0.39)
Draw
27.18%
▲
(+0.35)
Atletico Nacional
29.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
48.39%
▼
(-1.00)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.34%
▼
(-1.28)
Under 2.5
56.66%
▲
(+1.28)
Over 3.5
22.37%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 3.5
77.62%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 4.5
9.73%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 4.5
90.26%
▲
(+0.64)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
74.27%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 0.5
25.72%
▲
(+0.78)
Over 1.5
39.35%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 1.5
60.64%
▲
(+1.06)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
65.14%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 0.5
34.85%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 1.5
28.41%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 1.5
71.59%
▲
(+0.70)
Score analysis
Club Nacional
43.73%
Draw
27.18%
Atletico Nacional
29.08%
Club Nacional
1-0
@
12.17%
▲
(+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.73%
2-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.73%
Draw
1-1
@
12.83%
▲
(+0.12)
0-0 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.44)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.18%
0-0 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.44)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.18%
Atletico Nacional
0-1
@
9.45%
▲
(+0.30)
1-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 29.08%
1-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 29.08%