Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.

Result
Atletico Nacional	Draw	Racing Club
40.94% ( 1.1)	26.73% ( -0.02)	32.33% ( -1.06)

Both teams to score 51.13% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.19% (

-0.13)

53.81% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72% (

-0.11)

75.28% (

0.12)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.13% (

0.53)

25.88% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.15% (

0.71)

60.86% (

-0.7)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

-0.77)

31.02% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

-0.91)

67.33% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Atletico Nacional 40.94%

Racing Club 32.33%

Draw 26.73%

Atletico Nacional	Draw	Racing Club
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.94%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 3% Total : 32.33%