Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Palestino	Draw	Cuiaba
42.83% ( 0.13)	26.72% ( -0.01)	30.44% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 50.42% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62% (

-0.01)

54.37% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25% (

-0.01)

75.75% (

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

0.06)

25.14% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

0.09)

59.85% (

-0.09)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

-0.1)

32.64% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82% (

-0.11)

69.18% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Palestino 42.83%

Cuiaba 30.44%

Draw 26.72%

Palestino	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.83%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.44%