Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Cuiaba
63.03% ( -0.11)	22.48% ( 0.07)	14.49% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 42.72% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

-0.17)

54.13% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46% (

-0.14)

75.54% (

0.14)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.32% (

-0.1)

16.68% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.45% (

-0.17)

46.55% (

0.17)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.27% (

-0.04)

48.73% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.24% (

-0.03)

83.76% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bahia 63.02%

Cuiaba 14.49%

Draw 22.48%

Bahia	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 14.55% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.03% 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 63.02%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.48%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.49%