Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.