Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
2 - 0
Juventude

Thaciano (59'), Oliveira Souza (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jadson (24'), Gilberto (45+2'), Marcos (52'), Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Juventude

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawJuventude
64.84% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (0.020000000000003 0.02)46.53% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.016999999999999 0.02)68.81% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.59% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)40.7% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56% (0.012 0.01)44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (0.012 0.01)80.12% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 64.83%
    Juventude 14.56%
    Draw 20.6%
BahiaDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 11.93%
2-0 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 64.83%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.6%
0-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.02%
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 14.56%

How you voted: Bahia vs Juventude

Bahia
83.3%
Draw
13.9%
Juventude
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 11.15pm
Gameweek 29
Juventude
0-0
Bahia
Pacheco (84'), Mendes (88')
Gilberto (90')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 10
Bahia
1-0
Juventude
Bahia (79')
Thaciano (38'), Danielzinho (73')

Paulinho (39'), Wescley (87'), Henrique (90+3')
> Preview