Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Bahia
Jun 14, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Fortaleza
  • Kanu 60' yellowcard
  • Kanu 60' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 70' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 70' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 79' goal
  • Jean Lucas 79' goal
  • Marcos Felipe 86' yellowcard
  • Yago 88' yellowcard
  • Marcos Felipe 88' yellowcard
  • Carlos de Pena 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Yago 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Carlos de Pena 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Teixeira 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Vojvoda 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Vojvoda 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tomas Pochettino 86'

Bahia vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jun 2, 2024 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Everaldo Stum

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last game
Jun 2, 2024 10.30pm
Fortaleza 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Juan Martin Lucero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bahia.

Result

Bahia 62.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 21.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Fortaleza 15.7% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.38% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.68% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 49.32% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 28.62% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 71.37% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 13.73% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 86.26% ▼ (-0.10)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 84.79% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 15.21% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 56.14% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 43.85% ▼ (-0.19)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 55.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 44.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 19.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 80.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bahia 62.5%
Draw 21.79%
Fortaleza 15.7%
Bahia
1-0 @ 12.63% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.89%
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 62.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.79%
Fortaleza
0-1 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 15.7%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Bahia
Oct 21, 2023 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Fortaleza
  • Camilo Candido 16' yellowcard
  • Kanu 22' goal
  • Raul Gustavo 35' yellowcard
  • Yago 45' yellowcard
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 59' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 62' yellowcard
  • Danilo Fernandes 90' yellowcard
  • Rafael Ratao 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Britez 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sasha 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Bruno Pacheco 64'
  • yellowcard Titi 90'
  • yellowcard Rogerio Ceni 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Fortaleza
Jun 3, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Bahia
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Fortaleza
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Bahia
  • Marcelo Boeck 20' yellowcard
  • Matheus de Vargas 43' yellowcard
  • Wellington Paulista 45'+7' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 78' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 79' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 80' yellowcard
  • Osvaldo 81' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigoinho 25'
  • yellowcard Rai Nascimento 28'
  • yellowcard German Conti 77'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Bahia
Sep 5, 2021 1.00am
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Fortaleza
  • Matheus Teixeira 37' yellowcard
  • Hugo Rodallega 42' goal
  • Hugo Rodallega 64' goal
  • Hugo Rodallega 67' goal
  • Hugo Rodallega 76' goal
  • Patrick de Lucca 80' yellowcard
  • Juninho Capixaba 85' yellowcard
  • goal Yago Pikachu 70'
  • goal Matheus de Vargas 74'
  • yellowcard Titi 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Fortaleza
Feb 21, 2021 12.00am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
Bahia
  • Luiz Henrique 9' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Dias 46' yellowcard
  • Felipe 52' yellowcard
  • Felipe 65' redcard
  • Mariano Vazquez 71' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigoinho 7'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo 9'
  • yellowcard Matheus Bahia 11'
  • goal Rodrigoinho 63'
  • goal Rodrigoinho 66'
  • goal Rossi 80'
  • yellowcard Thiago Andrade 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Bahia
Nov 11, 2020 9.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Fortaleza
  • Juninho Capixaba 4' yellowcard
  • Juninho 25' goal
  • Ronaldo 50' yellowcard
  • Gilberto 71' goal
  • Anderson Martins 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulao 40'
  • goal Bergson 65'
  • yellowcard Felipe 71'
  • yellowcard Derley 90'

Form Data

Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Bahia
Criciuma 0 - 2 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 0 Bragantino
Botafogo 1 - 2 Bahia
Bahia 0 - 0 Criciuma
Bahia 1 - 0 Gremio
Fortaleza 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Fortaleza 2 - 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Vasco 3 - 3 Fortaleza
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Fortaleza
Fortaleza 1 - 1 Botafogo
Nacional 4 - 1 Fortaleza