Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bahia.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Fortaleza
62.51% ( 0.15)	21.79% ( -0.07)	15.7% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 47.38% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.68% (

0.16)

49.32% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

0.14)

71.37% (

-0.14)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79% (

0.1)

15.21% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14% (

0.19)

43.85% (

-0.19)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.88% (

-0)

44.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.78% (

-0)

80.22% (

Score Analysis

Bahia 62.5%

Fortaleza 15.7%

Draw 21.79%

Bahia	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 62.5%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.49% Total : 15.7%